Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia		Zizou Bergs

	1	2
	1.03	15	Watch
			Watch
	1.04	10
	1.04	10.98	Watch
			Watch
	1.06	9.3	Watch
	1.04	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.04 ↓ (1.05)	10.78 ↓ (11)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
91.2%

Zizou Bergs
8.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

91.3%

8.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Zizou Bergs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Zizou Bergs Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Bergs will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Bergs (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 1. Bergs is ranked ATP: 45.

Alcaraz Garfia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Bergs has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bergs may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Alcaraz Garfia is the clear favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Tokyo
25.09.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
21.09.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
07.09.25	Jannik Sinner - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:3 ✺
05.09.25	Novak Djokovic - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWW
- Zizou Bergs
ATP Tokyo
25.09.25	Zizou Bergs - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1 ✺
ATP Chengdu
17.09.25	Zizou Bergs - Juncheng Shang	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
14.09.25	Alex De Minaur - Zizou Bergs	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Jordan Thompson - Zizou Bergs	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.25	Jaume Munar - Zizou Bergs	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLWL

Upcoming Matches