Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Vancouver, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 July 2026, Tuesday


	Shintaro Mochizuki		Charles Broom

	1	2
	1.50	2.50	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.56	2.38	Watch
	1.60	2.45
	1.52	2.37	Watch
	1.58	2.40	Watch
	1.54	2.32	Watch
	1.54	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.4)	2.37 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Shintaro Mochizuki
60.5%

Charles Broom
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shintaro Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shintaro Mochizuki's form might have worsened.

Charles Broom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Charles Broom's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charles Broom than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Shintaro Mochizuki - Charles Broom Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Mochizuki will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Broom will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 116. Broom is ranked ATP: 280.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Mochizuki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mochizuki is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mochizuki won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Challenger
25.07.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Liam Draxl	0:2 ✺
24.07.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Johannus Monday	2:0 ✺
23.07.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Duncan Chan	2:1 ✺
21.07.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Philip Sekulic	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
05.07.26	Jannik Sinner - Shintaro Mochizuki	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWWL
- Charles Broom
ATP Challenger
25.07.26	Charles Broom - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
24.07.26	Rio Noguchi - Charles Broom	0:2 ✺
22.07.26	Charles Broom - Zhizhen Zhang	2:1 ✺
21.07.26	Murphy Cassone - Charles Broom	Canceled ✺
13.07.26	Rio Noguchi - Charles Broom	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWW?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.06.24	Shintaro Mochizuki - Charles Broom	1:2

Shintaro Mochizuki - Charles Broom: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide