Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Seoul, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Seoul 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Sho Shimabukuro		Jay Dylan Hara Friend

	1	2
	1.73	2.00	Watch
	1.70	2.05
	1.74	2.04	Watch
	1.71	2.02	Watch
	1.66	2.20
	1.69	2.02	Watch
	1.70	2.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.45)	2.05 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sho Shimabukuro
54.6%

Jay Dylan Hara Friend
45.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.7%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sho Shimabukuro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sho Shimabukuro's form might have worsened.

Jay Dylan Hara Friend has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jay Dylan Hara Friend's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (+16%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sho Shimabukuro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jay Dylan Hara Friend than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jay Dylan Hara Friend, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Sho Shimabukuro - Jay Dylan Hara Friend Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Shimabukuro will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Hara Friend will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shimabukuro is ranked ATP: 106., and Hara Friend is ranked ATP: 266..

Each of the two players is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Shimabukuro could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Sho Shimabukuro - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 63.66%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Challenger
26.10.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Jan Kumstat	2:0 ✺
ATP Almaty
22.10.26	Daniil Medvedev - Sho Shimabukuro	2:0 ✺
20.10.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Roman Safiullin	2:1 ✺
ATP Shanghai
07.10.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Miomir Kecmanovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
01.10.26	Denis Shapovalov - Sho Shimabukuro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLWLL
- Jay Dylan Hara Friend
ATP Challenger
26.10.26	August Holmgren - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	0:2 ✺
23.10.26	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	2:0 ✺
21.10.26	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - James McCabe	2:1 ✺
19.10.26	Ognjen Milic - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	1:2 ✺
15.10.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWWL

Sho Shimabukuro - Jay Dylan Hara Friend