Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Almaty, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 22 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Almaty 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Daniil Medvedev		Sho Shimabukuro

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Daniil Medvedev
89.7%

Sho Shimabukuro
10.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

85.4%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Medvedev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Sho Shimabukuro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Medvedev will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Shimabukuro will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Medvedev (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Medvedev is ranked ATP: 5., and Shimabukuro is ranked ATP: 109..

Medvedev is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Shimabukuro have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

The betting markets point to Medvedev as the clear and undisputed favorite.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Shanghai
17.10.26	Rafael Jodar - Daniil Medvedev	2:0 ✺
16.10.26	Daniil Medvedev - Tommy Paul	2:1 ✺
14.10.26	Daniil Medvedev - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
12.10.26	Daniil Medvedev - Dalibor Svrcina	2:0 ✺
10.10.26	Daniil Medvedev - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWWW
- Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Almaty
20.10.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Roman Safiullin	2:1 ✺
ATP Shanghai
07.10.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Miomir Kecmanovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
01.10.26	Denis Shapovalov - Sho Shimabukuro	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
24.09.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
19.09.26	Anton Shepp - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLLLW

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Vienna
27.10.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Daniil Medvedev	✺
ATP Almaty
25.10.26	Daniil Medvedev - Nikoloz Basilashvili	✺
- Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Challenger
26.10.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Jan Kumstat	✺

Daniil Medvedev - Sho Shimabukuro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide