Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 22 September 2025, Monday


	Sho Shimabukuro		Mariano Navone

	1	2
			Watch
	2.52	1.54
	1.45	2.76	Watch
	2.44	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (4.47)	1.96 ↑ (1.18)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sho Shimabukuro
47.8%

Mariano Navone
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

79.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sho Shimabukuro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+26.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sho Shimabukuro's performance.

Mariano Navone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-26.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mariano Navone might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Sho Shimabukuro - Mariano Navone Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Shimabukuro will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Navone will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shimabukuro: 50.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Shimabukuro (3.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +4 Games - Shimabukuro (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sho Shimabukuro will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Shimabukuro (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Shimabukuro is ranked ATP: 271. Navone is ranked ATP: 82.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Shimabukuro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Navone is considered a favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Challenger
03.09.25	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Sho Shimabukuro	2:0 ✺
02.09.25	Yuta Shimizu - Sho Shimabukuro	Canceled ✺
31.08.25	Oliver Crawford - Sho Shimabukuro	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Sho Shimabukuro - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:0 ✺
29.08.25	Ilia Simakin - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 L?WWW
- Mariano Navone
ATP Hangzhou
17.09.25	Mariano Navone - Learner Tien	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.25	Mariano Navone - Marcos Giron	2:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
20.08.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Mariano Navone - Marcos Giron	2:0 ✺
18.08.25	Mariano Navone - Dhakshineswar Suresh	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLWW

Sho Shimabukuro - Mariano Navone: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide