Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cagliari, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 April 2026, Tuesday


	Stefano Travaglia		Jesper De Jong

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.1	1.65
	2.55	1.46
	2.59	1.53
	2.58	1.45	Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.5	1.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.19)	1.5 ↓ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefano Travaglia
37.6%

Jesper De Jong
62.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano Travaglia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Jesper De Jong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stefano Travaglia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jesper De Jong, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Stefano Travaglia - Jesper De Jong Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Travaglia will win (votes: 3 - 75%). De Jong will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Travaglia (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Travaglia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Travaglia is ranked ATP: 141. De Jong is ranked ATP: 109.

Travaglia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

De Jong's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Travaglia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

De Jong might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Stefano Travaglia - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 42.43%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Jesper De Jong - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.57%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano Travaglia
ATP Madrid
20.04.26	Stefano Travaglia - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.04.26	Stefano Travaglia - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
08.04.26	Stefano Travaglia - Raul Brancaccio	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Vilius Gaubas - Stefano Travaglia	0:2 ✺
ATP Bucharest
30.03.26	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWWL
- Jesper De Jong
ATP Madrid
22.04.26	Rafael Jodar - Jesper De Jong	2:1 ✺
ATP Barcelona
12.04.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Jesper De Jong	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Jesper De Jong - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
04.04.26	Christian Garin - Jesper De Jong	2:1 ✺
ATP Marrakech
30.03.26	Jesper De Jong - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWLL

Stefano Travaglia - Jesper De Jong: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide