Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday


	Rafael Jodar		Jesper De Jong

	1	2
	1.17	5	Watch
			Watch
	1.17	5.2	Watch
	1.19	5.77
	1.15	5.36	Watch
	1.17	5	Watch
	1.19	5.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↑ (1.15)	5.27 ↓ (5.48)

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rafael Jodar
81.8%

Jesper De Jong
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

82.7%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rafael Jodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Jesper De Jong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Rafael Jodar - Jesper De Jong Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Jodar will win (votes: 8 - 80%). De Jong will win (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jodar: 55.2% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Jodar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Jodar is ranked ATP: 42. De Jong is ranked ATP: 109.

Jodar is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, De Jong has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

De Jong may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Jodar is considered a favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rafael Jodar
ATP Barcelona
18.04.26	Rafael Jodar - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
17.04.26	Cameron Norrie - Rafael Jodar	0:2 ✺
15.04.26	Rafael Jodar - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
13.04.26	Jaume Munar - Rafael Jodar	0:2 ✺
ATP Marrakech
05.04.26	Marco Trungelliti - Rafael Jodar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWWW
- Jesper De Jong
ATP Barcelona
12.04.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Jesper De Jong	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Jesper De Jong - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
04.04.26	Christian Garin - Jesper De Jong	2:1 ✺
ATP Marrakech
30.03.26	Jesper De Jong - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.03.26	Samuele Pieri - Jesper De Jong	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLW

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