Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Monza, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday


	Vilius Gaubas		Stefano Travaglia

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	1.8	1.9	Watch
	2.25	1.55	Watch
	2.25	1.69
	2.54	1.45	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.45	1.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (1.83)	1.59 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilius Gaubas
41%

Stefano Travaglia
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilius Gaubas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vilius Gaubas's form might have worsened.

Stefano Travaglia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stefano Travaglia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Vilius Gaubas - Stefano Travaglia Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gaubas will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Travaglia will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gaubas is ranked ATP: 108. Travaglia is ranked ATP: 142.

Gaubas is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Travaglia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gaubas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Stefano Travaglia - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Bucharest
31.03.26	Sebastian Baez - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.03.26	Max Houkes - Vilius Gaubas	2:1 ✺
24.03.26	Abedallah Shelbayh - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
24.03.26	Roberto Carballes Baena - Vilius Gaubas	Canceled ✺
17.03.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLW?L
- Stefano Travaglia
ATP Bucharest
30.03.26	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.03.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Stefano Travaglia	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Stefano Travaglia - Arthur Gea	Gea A. retired ✺
21.03.26	Matej Dodig - Stefano Travaglia	0:2 ✺
20.03.26	Stefano Travaglia - Alex Molcan	Molcan A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LL?W?

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