Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Split (Croatia), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 April 2024, Friday

Referee: Plese M. (Cro)


	Stefano Travaglia		Jozef Kovalik

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.45	1.48
	2.45	1.5	Watch
	2.59	1.54
	2.59	1.54
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.45	1.51	Watch
	2.6	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.2)	1.51 ↓ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefano Travaglia
37.6%

Jozef Kovalik
62.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano Travaglia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Jozef Kovalik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jozef Kovalik than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	0%	93.3%

Stefano Travaglia - Jozef Kovalik Predictions

Users Predictions: Jozef Kovalik will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Travaglia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kovalik is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kovalik could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kovalik will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Kovalik to win the game is with odds 1.53.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Travaglia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano Travaglia
ATP Challenger
10.04.24	Stefano Travaglia - Marko Topo	2:0 ✺
08.04.24	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Stefano Travaglia	Cerundolo J. M. retired ✺
02.04.24	Filip Cristian Jianu - Stefano Travaglia	2:1 ✺
27.03.24	Stefano Travaglia - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
25.03.24	Stefano Travaglia - Mate Valkusz	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 W?LL?
- Jozef Kovalik
ATP Challenger
10.04.24	Jozef Kovalik - Quentin Halys	2:1 ✺
08.04.24	Nicholas David Ionel - Jozef Kovalik	0:2 ✺
27.03.24	Jozef Kovalik - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
24.03.24	Jozef Kovalik - Adrian Andreev	2:0 ✺
23.03.24	Jonas Forejtek - Jozef Kovalik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
23.02.24	Jozef Kovalik - Stefano Travaglia	Kovalik J. retired
16.05.19	Jozef Kovalik - Stefano Travaglia	1:2

Stefano Travaglia - Jozef Kovalik: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide