Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zadar, clay - Final

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Stefano Travaglia		Arthur Gea

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.87	1.83	Watch
	1.99	1.74
	1.98	1.88
	1.95	1.75	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.95	1.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.13)	1.78 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefano Travaglia
47.7%

Arthur Gea
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano Travaglia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Arthur Gea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	0%	6.7%

Stefano Travaglia - Arthur Gea Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Travaglia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Stefano Travaglia will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Travaglia is ranked ATP: 161. Gea is ranked ATP: 144.

Now, both players are in good form.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Gea will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Travaglia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Arthur Gea - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 56.8%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano Travaglia
ATP Challenger
21.03.26	Matej Dodig - Stefano Travaglia	0:2 ✺
20.03.26	Stefano Travaglia - Alex Molcan	Molcan A. retired ✺
19.03.26	Stefano Travaglia - Henri Squire	2:0 ✺
17.03.26	Stefano Travaglia - Mili Poljicak	2:0 ✺
11.03.26	Stefano Travaglia - Quentin Halys	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 W?WWL
- Arthur Gea
ATP Challenger
21.03.26	Arthur Gea - Kyrian Jacquet	2:1 ✺
20.03.26	Lukas Neumayer - Arthur Gea	1:2 ✺
19.03.26	Daniel Michalski - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
18.03.26	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Arthur Gea	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Marco Cecchinato - Arthur Gea	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.03.24	Stefano Travaglia - Arthur Gea	0:2

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