Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Gstaad, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 July 2026, Friday


	Raphael Collignon		Valentin Vacherot

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.20	Watch
	1.65	2.15	Watch
	1.73	2.26
	1.69	2.21	Watch
	1.69	2.2
	1.68	2.22	Watch
	1.65	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.53)	2.2 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raphael Collignon
56.7%

Valentin Vacherot
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raphael Collignon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Raphael Collignon's form might have worsened.

Valentin Vacherot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Valentin Vacherot's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

Raphael Collignon - Valentin Vacherot Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Collignon will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Vacherot will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Collignon: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 10.5 Games, 1st Set - over (2.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Collignon is ranked ATP: 42. Vacherot is ranked ATP: 21.

Collignon has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vacherot may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Collignon could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Collignon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Raphael Collignon - the odds 1.53 are the expected chance of winning is 62.03%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raphael Collignon
ATP Gstaad
15.07.26	Raphael Collignon - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0 ✺
13.07.26	Raphael Collignon - Timofey Skatov	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.26	Raphael Collignon - Arthur Fils	0:3 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
22.06.26	Raphael Collignon - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
ATP Halle
19.06.26	Alexander Zverev - Raphael Collignon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWLLL
- Valentin Vacherot
ATP Gstaad
15.07.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Valentin Vacherot	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
28.05.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Valentin Vacherot	Tabilo A. Walkover ✺
26.05.26	Thomas Faurel - Valentin Vacherot	1:3 ✺
ATP Roma
09.05.26	Marin Cilic - Valentin Vacherot	Canceled ✺
ATP Madrid
24.04.26	Emilio Nava - Valentin Vacherot	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 W?W?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
10.01.23	Valentin Vacherot - Raphael Collignon	0:2
ITF Tournaments
23.01.22	Raphael Collignon - Valentin Vacherot	0:2

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