Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Gstaad, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 15 July 2026, Wednesday


	Raphael Collignon		Lorenzo Sonego

	1	2
	1.40	3.00	Watch
	1.44	2.75
	1.46	2.70	Watch
	1.47	2.88
	1.47	2.61	Watch
	1.45	2.85	Watch
	1.45	2.76	Watch
	1.41	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.58)	2.79 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Raphael Collignon
65.9%

Lorenzo Sonego
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raphael Collignon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Raphael Collignon's performance.

Lorenzo Sonego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorenzo Sonego might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raphael Collignon than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Raphael Collignon - Lorenzo Sonego Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Collignon will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Sonego will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sonego (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Collignon is ranked ATP: 42. Sonego is ranked ATP: 83.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Sonego may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Collignon might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Raphael Collignon - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 59.17%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Lorenzo Sonego - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.83%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raphael Collignon
ATP Gstaad
13.07.26	Raphael Collignon - Timofey Skatov	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.26	Raphael Collignon - Arthur Fils	0:3 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
22.06.26	Raphael Collignon - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
ATP Halle
19.06.26	Alexander Zverev - Raphael Collignon	2:0 ✺
18.06.26	Raphael Collignon - Mattia Bellucci	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLW
- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Gstaad
13.07.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Joel Schwaerzler	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
04.07.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Lorenzo Sonego	3:1 ✺
02.07.26	Gabriel Diallo - Lorenzo Sonego	2:3 ✺
30.06.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	3:1 ✺
ATP Mallorca
23.06.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Miomir Kecmanovic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWWL

Raphael Collignon - Lorenzo Sonego: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide