Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Monza - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday


	Sumit Nagal		Ergi Kirkin

	1	2
			Watch
	1.33	2.95
	1.28	3.35	Watch
	1.28	3.59	Watch
			Watch
	1.29	3.39	Watch
	1.28	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.37)	3.33 ↑ (2.99)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sumit Nagal
72%

Ergi Kirkin
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.7%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sumit Nagal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Ergi Kirkin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ergi Kirkin than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Sumit Nagal - Ergi Kirkin Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Nagal will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Kirkin will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nagal is ranked ATP: 137. Kirkin is ranked ATP: 313.

Recent matches Nagal is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kirkin is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nagal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Nagal is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sumit Nagal
ATP Marrakech
31.03.25	Kamil Majchrzak - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Amine Jamji - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.03.25	Luciano Darderi - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
25.03.25	Duje Ajdukovic - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
19.03.25	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLWL
- Ergi Kirkin
ATP Challenger
01.04.25	Ergi Kirkin - Maxim Mrva	1:2 ✺
23.03.25	Borna Gojo - Ergi Kirkin	2:0 ✺
14.03.25	Ergi Kirkin - Federico Cina	0:2 ✺
12.03.25	Marek Gengel - Ergi Kirkin	Gengel M. retired ✺
11.03.25	Ergi Kirkin - Andre Ilagan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLL?W

Sumit Nagal - Ergi Kirkin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide