Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rotterdam, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 February 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
Portugal	Sport TV3
Sweden	TV4 Sport Live 1, TV4 Tennis
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Tallon Griekspoor		Felix Aliassime-Auger

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.4	1.31	Watch
	3.7	1.32
	3.59	1.31	Watch
	3.3	1.33
	3.34	1.35	Watch
	3.25	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↑ (2.81)	1.32 ↓ (1.46)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tallon Griekspoor
27.7%

Felix Aliassime-Auger
72.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

63.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tallon Griekspoor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tallon Griekspoor's form might have worsened.

Felix Aliassime-Auger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Felix Aliassime-Auger's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallon Griekspoor than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tallon Griekspoor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felix Aliassime-Auger than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Felix Aliassime-Auger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	0%	58.3%

Tallon Griekspoor - Felix Aliassime Auger Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Griekspoor will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Aliassime-Auger will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aliassime-Auger: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +3.5 Games - Griekspoor (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 22.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tallon Griekspoor will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Griekspoor (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Griekspoor is ranked ATP: 27. Aliassime-Auger is ranked ATP: 6.

Griekspoor has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Aliassime-Auger is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Griekspoor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Aliassime-Auger is the team to beat.

We predict that Aliassime-Auger will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Griekspoor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Felix Aliassime-Auger - the odds 1.46 are the expected chance of winning is 65.89%, but this team recently wins 83% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tallon Griekspoor
ATP Rotterdam
11.02.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Quentin Halys	2:0 ✺
10.02.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:0 ✺
ATP Montpellier
06.02.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Titouan Droguet	0:2 ✺
05.02.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
19.01.26	Ethan Quinn - Tallon Griekspoor	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWL
- Felix Aliassime-Auger
ATP Rotterdam
12.02.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
11.02.26	Alexei Popyrin - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
ATP Montpellier
08.02.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Titouan Droguet	2:1 ✺
06.02.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Arthur Fils	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Mallorca
27.06.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0
ATP Hertogenbosch
09.06.22	Tallon Griekspoor - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2
ATP US Open
22.08.18	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Tallon Griekspoor	2:0

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