Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 19 January 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	23:15	ESPN
Belgium	03:15	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	03:15	HBO Max
Brazil	23:15	ESPN
Bulgaria	04:15	HBO Max
Canada	21:15	RDS App
Colombia	21:15	ESPN
Croatia	03:15	HBO Max
Czech Republic	03:15	HBO Max
Denmark	03:15	HBO Max
Finland	04:15	HBO Max
France	03:15	HBO Max
Hungary	03:15	HBO Max
Mexico	20:15	ESPN
Moldova	04:15	HBO Max
Montenegro	03:15	HBO Max
Netherlands	03:15	HBO Max
North Macedonia	03:15	HBO Max
Norway	03:15	HBO Max
Peru	21:15	ESPN
Poland	03:15	HBO Max
Romania	04:15	HBO Max
Serbia	03:15	HBO Max
Slovenia	03:15	HBO Max
Spain	03:15	HBO Max
Sweden	03:15	HBO Max
United Kingdom	02:15	Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Usa	21:15	ESPN USA
Venezuela	22:15	ESPN


	Jakub Mensik		Pablo Carreno-Busta

	1	2
	1.22	4.33	Watch
	1.23	4.2	Watch
	1.22	4.30	Watch
	1.25	4
	1.23	4.28	Watch
	1.22	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↑ (1.21)	4.24 ↓ (4.36)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jakub Mensik
77.5%

Pablo Carreno-Busta
22.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

78.3%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jakub Mensik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Jakub Mensik - Pablo Carreno Busta Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mensik (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Jakub Mensik will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Mensik is ranked ATP: 18. Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 92.

Mensik is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Carreno Busta is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Mensik may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mensik is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mensik won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jakub Mensik
ATP Auckland
16.01.26	Sebastian Baez - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
15.01.26	Jakub Mensik - Fabian Marozsan	2:1 ✺
15.01.26	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
14.01.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Jakub Mensik	1:2 ✺
ATP United Cup
08.01.26	Zizou Bergs - Jakub Mensik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWL
- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Auckland
09.01.26	Adrian Mannarino - Pablo Carreno-Busta	Canceled ✺
09.01.26	Vit Kopriva - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:1 ✺
ATP Brisbane
06.01.26	Grigor Dimitrov - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0 ✺
03.01.26	Arthur Cazaux - Pablo Carreno-Busta	Cazaux A. retired ✺
02.01.26	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Mattia Bellucci	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 ?LL?W

Latest Head to Head

Davis Cup World Group
20.11.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Jakub Mensik	0:2
ATP Auckland
07.01.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Jakub Mensik	1:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Paris
31.10.26	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Mattia Bellucci	✺

Jakub Mensik - Pablo Carreno-Busta