Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 August 2026, Tuesday


	Brandon Nakashima		Daniil Medvedev

	1	2
	2.20	1.67	Watch
	2.10	1.72
	2.10	1.73	Watch
	2.21	1.75
	2.11	1.73	Watch
	2.20	1.71	Watch
	2.17	1.77	Watch
	2.20	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.26)	1.72 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brandon Nakashima
44.4%

Daniil Medvedev
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Daniil Medvedev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Brandon Nakashima - Daniil Medvedev Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Nakashima will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Medvedev will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nakashima is ranked ATP: 22. Medvedev is ranked ATP: 7.

Nakashima is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Medvedev has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nakashima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nakashima won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Brandon Nakashima - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 41.98%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.26	Brandon Nakashima - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
13.08.26	Ben Shelton - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
12.08.26	Rafael Jodar - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
11.08.26	Luciano Darderi - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
08.08.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWWW
- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.26	Marco Trungelliti - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
05.08.26	Daniil Medvedev - Botic Van De Zandschulp	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Daniil Medvedev	3:0 ✺
01.07.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Daniil Medvedev	1:3 ✺
29.06.26	Marin Cilic - Daniil Medvedev	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Brisbane
11.01.26	Daniil Medvedev - Brandon Nakashima	2:0
ATP Madrid
29.04.25	Daniil Medvedev - Brandon Nakashima	2:1
ATP Indian Wells
10.03.23	Daniil Medvedev - Brandon Nakashima	2:0

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