Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Shanghai 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Taylor Harry Fritz		Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

	1	2
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.26	3.9
	1.26	4.26
	1.16	5.16	Watch
			Watch
	1.32	3.55	Watch
	1.29	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.3)	3.95 ↑ (3.5)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taylor Harry Fritz
75.8%

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
24.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

72.9%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.8%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taylor Harry Fritz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taylor Harry Fritz than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Taylor Harry Fritz - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Fritz (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Mpetshi Perricard (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Users Predictions: Taylor Harry Fritz will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fritz is ranked ATP: 4. Mpetshi Perricard is ranked ATP: 37.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Mpetshi Perricard may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Fritz is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fritz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taylor Harry Fritz
ATP Shanghai
03.10.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Fabian Marozsan	2:1 ✺
ATP Tokyo
30.09.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:0 ✺
29.09.25	Jenson Brooksby - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Sebastian Korda - Taylor Harry Fritz	1:2 ✺
26.09.25	Nuno Borges - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWWW
- Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
ATP Shanghai
03.10.25	Luca Nardi - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	0:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
26.09.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
20.09.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:1 ✺
18.09.25	Filip Misolic - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
01.07.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	3:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taylor Harry Fritz
ATP Basel
29.10.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Denis Shapovalov	✺

Taylor Harry Fritz - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard