Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Washington, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 24 July 2025, Thursday


	Taylor Harry Fritz		Matteo Arnaldi

	1	2
	1.17	5	Watch
	1.21	4.25	Watch
	1.16	5	Watch
	1.17	5.78
	1.18	4.61	Watch
	1.22	4.2	Watch
	1.18	5	Watch
	1.22	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.22)	4.77 ↑ (4.3)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taylor Harry Fritz
80%

Matteo Arnaldi
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77.9%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taylor Harry Fritz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Taylor Harry Fritz - Matteo Arnaldi Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Taylor Harry Fritz will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Taylor Harry Fritz will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fritz is ranked ATP: 4. Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 44.

Fritz is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Arnaldi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Arnaldi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fritz is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fritz won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taylor Harry Fritz
ATP Washington
23.07.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
11.07.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:3 ✺
08.07.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Karen Khachanov	3:1 ✺
06.07.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Jordan Thompson	Thompson J. retired ✺
04.07.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLW?W
- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Washington
23.07.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0 ✺
21.07.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Daniel Altmaier	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Botic Van De Zandschulp	0:3 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
23.06.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Reilly Opelka	Canceled ✺
ATP London
16.06.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Matteo Arnaldi	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWL??

Latest Head to Head

ATP Acapulco
26.02.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:1

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