Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Eastbourne, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 June 2025, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Eastbourne 🌤️ ... 🟢 Grass


	Matteo Arnaldi		Reilly Opelka

	1	2
	2.2	1.67
	2.35	1.57
	2.52	1.57
	2.3	1.62
	2.31	1.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.19)	1.61 ↓ (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Arnaldi
40.8%

Reilly Opelka
59.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.4%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Reilly Opelka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reilly Opelka than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Matteo Arnaldi - Reilly Opelka Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Opelka (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 23.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 41. Opelka is ranked ATP: 75.

Arnaldi has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Opelka has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Arnaldi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Opelka will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Arnaldi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP London
16.06.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Matteo Arnaldi	Canceled ✺
ATP Stuttgart
09.06.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
29.05.25	Flavio Cobolli - Matteo Arnaldi	3:1 ✺
27.05.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Felix Aliassime-Auger	3:2 ✺
ATP Geneva
22.05.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Novak Djokovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 ?LLWL
- Reilly Opelka
ATP London
19.06.25	Reilly Opelka - Arthur Rinderknech	0:2 ✺
17.06.25	Reilly Opelka - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
14.06.25	Reilly Opelka - Zizou Bergs	0:2 ✺
13.06.25	Daniil Medvedev - Reilly Opelka	0:2 ✺
12.06.25	Reilly Opelka - Nicolas Jarry	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Brisbane
01.01.25	Reilly Opelka - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0

Matteo Arnaldi - Reilly Opelka

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Matteo Arnaldi - Reilly Opelka Predictions

Preview

Form

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