Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 March 2026, Thursday


	Francis Tiafoe		Jannik Sinner

	1	2
	15	1.03	Watch
	13	1.03	Watch
	14.5	1.05
	12.38	1.04	Watch
	13	1.03	Watch
	14.8	1.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	13.78 ↑ (13.26)	1.03 ↑ (1.02)

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francis Tiafoe
7%

Jannik Sinner
93%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

7.1%

92.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Jannik Sinner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Francis Tiafoe - Jannik Sinner Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Tiafoe will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Sinner will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Tiafoe (2.68) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 19.5 Games - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tiafoe (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 20. Sinner is ranked ATP: 2.

Tiafoe is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sinner is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Tiafoe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sinner is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tiafoe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.8:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Miami
24.03.26	Terence Atmane - Francis Tiafoe	1:2 ✺
23.03.26	Francis Tiafoe - Jakub Mensik	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Francis Tiafoe - Arthur Cazaux	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
10.03.26	Francis Tiafoe - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Flavio Cobolli - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWLW
- Jannik Sinner
ATP Miami
24.03.26	Alex Michelsen - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
23.03.26	Corentin Moutet - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Damir Dzumhur - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
15.03.26	Daniil Medvedev - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Alexander Zverev - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cincinnati
19.08.24	Jannik Sinner - Francis Tiafoe	2:0
ATP Vienna
27.10.23	Francis Tiafoe - Jannik Sinner	0:2
30.10.21	Francis Tiafoe - Jannik Sinner	2:1
ATP Next Gen Finals
05.11.19	Francis Tiafoe - Jannik Sinner	1:3
ATP Antwerp
18.10.19	Jannik Sinner - Francis Tiafoe	2:1

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