Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Acapulco, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 February 2026, Wednesday


	Terence Atmane		Rafael Jodar

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	3.1	1.36	Watch
	2.95	1.38	Watch
	3.13	1.41
	2.37	1.58	Watch
	3.1	1.36
	3.02	1.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↓ (3.2)	1.41 ↑ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Terence Atmane
32.3%

Rafael Jodar
67.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

70.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

68.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Terence Atmane has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Rafael Jodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Terence Atmane than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rafael Jodar than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.4%	0%	70.6%

Terence Atmane - Rafael Jodar Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Atmane will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Jodar will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jodar: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Atmane (votes: 3 - 50%). Jodar (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Atmane (5.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Atmane (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Jodar (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Atmane is ranked ATP: 63. Jodar is ranked ATP: 114.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Jodar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Jodar is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Terence Atmane
ATP Acapulco
24.02.26	Terence Atmane - Grigor Dimitrov	2:0 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
18.02.26	Terence Atmane - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
16.02.26	Patrick Kypson - Terence Atmane	1:2 ✺
ATP Dallas
09.02.26	Terence Atmane - Francis Tiafoe	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
19.01.26	Terence Atmane - Francesco Maestrelli	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLWLL
- Rafael Jodar
ATP Acapulco
24.02.26	Rafael Jodar - Cameron Norrie	2:0 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
19.02.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Rafael Jodar	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Ethan Quinn - Rafael Jodar	0:2 ✺
ATP Dallas
10.02.26	Denis Shapovalov - Rafael Jodar	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Rafael Jodar - Murphy Cassone	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWLW

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