Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Acapulco, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday


	Rafael Jodar		Cameron Norrie

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.7	Watch
	2.12	1.7
	2.67	1.45	Watch
	2.1	1.73
	2.04	1.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.2)	1.67 (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rafael Jodar
43.1%

Cameron Norrie
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rafael Jodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Cameron Norrie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rafael Jodar than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cameron Norrie than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	0%	29.4%

Rafael Jodar - Cameron Norrie Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Jodar will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Norrie will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jodar: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Norrie (2.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rafael Jodar will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Jodar (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Norrie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jodar is ranked ATP: 118. Norrie is ranked ATP: 27.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Norrie may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rafael Jodar
ATP Delray Beach
19.02.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Rafael Jodar	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Ethan Quinn - Rafael Jodar	0:2 ✺
ATP Dallas
10.02.26	Denis Shapovalov - Rafael Jodar	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Rafael Jodar - Murphy Cassone	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Rafael Jodar - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWW
- Cameron Norrie
ATP Rotterdam
11.02.26	Christopher OConnell - Cameron Norrie	2:0 ✺
09.02.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Cameron Norrie	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
06.02.26	Viktor Durasovic - Cameron Norrie	Canceled ✺
05.02.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Cameron Norrie	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
23.01.26	Alexander Zverev - Cameron Norrie	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LW?WL

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