Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Dallas, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 February 2026, Tuesday


	Denis Shapovalov		Rafael Jodar

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
			Watch
	1.8	1.98	Watch
	1.83	2.06
	1.81	2	Watch
	1.8	2
	1.82	2.03	Watch
	1.8	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.57)	2 ↓ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Shapovalov
52.5%

Rafael Jodar
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Denis Shapovalov's form might have worsened.

Rafael Jodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rafael Jodar's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.9%	0%	26.1%

Denis Shapovalov - Rafael Jodar Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Shapovalov will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Jodar will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shapovalov: 59.8% – 94.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Denis Shapovalov will win (9 of 12 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 40. Jodar is ranked ATP: 124.

Jodar is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Shapovalov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Australian Open
22.01.26	Denis Shapovalov - Marin Cilic	0:3 ✺
19.01.26	Denis Shapovalov - Bu Yunchaokete	3:0 ✺
ATP Brisbane
05.01.26	Denis Shapovalov - Raphael Collignon	0:2 ✺
Exhibition Men World Tennis League
18.12.25	Daniil Medvedev - Denis Shapovalov	0:0 ✺
ATP Paris
28.10.25	Denis Shapovalov - Joao Fonseca	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLTL
- Rafael Jodar
ATP Dallas
08.02.26	Rafael Jodar - Murphy Cassone	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Rafael Jodar - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
21.01.26	Jakub Mensik - Rafael Jodar	3:0 ✺
20.01.26	Rei Sakamoto - Rafael Jodar	2:3 ✺
14.01.26	Rafael Jodar - Luca Van Assche	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWW

Denis Shapovalov - Rafael Jodar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide