Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Estoril - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 19 July 2026, Sunday


	Andrea Pellegrino		Gonzalo Bueno

	1	2
			Watch
	1.34	3.10
	1.33	3.20	Watch
	1.36	3.30
	2.70	1.44	Watch
	1.34	3.25	Watch
	1.43	2.82	Watch
	1.35	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.47)	2.87 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Andrea Pellegrino
64.9%

Gonzalo Bueno
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Pellegrino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Gonzalo Bueno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gonzalo Bueno than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Andrea Pellegrino - Gonzalo Bueno Predictions

Users Predictions: Andrea Pellegrino will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 138. Bueno is ranked ATP: 176.

Pellegrino has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bueno's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Pellegrino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Pellegrino might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Andrea Pellegrino - the odds 1.47 are the expected chance of winning is 63.5%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Estoril
18.07.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Joao Dinis Silva	2:0 ✺
ATP Bastad
16.07.26	Andrey Rublev - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1 ✺
14.07.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Andrea Pellegrino	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.07.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Raul Brancaccio	1:2 ✺
07.07.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Max Alcala Gurri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWLW
- Gonzalo Bueno
ATP Estoril
18.07.26	Francisco Rocha - Gonzalo Bueno	0:2 ✺
ATP Bastad
12.07.26	Gonzalo Bueno - Igor Marcondes	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.07.26	Laslo Djere - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Jerome Kym - Gonzalo Bueno	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.06.26	Gonzalo Bueno - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 WLLLL

Upcoming Matches