Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santiago, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday


	Thiago Monteiro		Diego Dedura-Palomero

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
			Watch
	1.72	2.01
	1.71	2.23
	1.68	2.06	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.68	2.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.5)	2.07 ↓ (2.39)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thiago Monteiro
55%

Diego Dedura-Palomero
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Monteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Thiago Monteiro's form might have worsened.

Diego Dedura-Palomero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Diego Dedura-Palomero's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Thiago Monteiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diego Dedura-Palomero than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Diego Dedura-Palomero, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Thiago Monteiro - Diego Dedura Palomero Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Monteiro will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Dedura-Palomero will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dedura-Palomero (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Monteiro is ranked ATP: 232. Dedura-Palomero is ranked ATP: 291.

Monteiro is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Dedura-Palomero is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Monteiro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Monteiro is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Thiago Monteiro - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 61.44%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Monteiro
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Thiago Monteiro	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Henrique Rocha - Thiago Monteiro	2:1 ✺
06.03.26	Thiago Monteiro - Pedro Boscardin Dias	2:0 ✺
05.03.26	Miguel Damas - Thiago Monteiro	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Thiago Monteiro - Daniel Dutra da Silva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWWW
- Diego Dedura-Palomero
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.03.26	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Diego Dedura-Palomero	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Maximo Zeitune - Diego Dedura-Palomero	0:2 ✺
06.03.26	Carlos Maria Zarate - Diego Dedura-Palomero	0:2 ✺
05.03.26	Ezequiel Monferrer - Diego Dedura-Palomero	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWW

Thiago Monteiro - Diego Dedura-Palomero: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide