Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Maia, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 November 2025, Monday


	Tiago Pereira		Lukas Neumayer

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.05	1.33
	3.20	1.29	Watch
	3.13	1.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.75)	1.31 ↓ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tiago Pereira
29.3%

Lukas Neumayer
70.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

64.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiago Pereira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Lukas Neumayer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiago Pereira than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tiago Pereira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lukas Neumayer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tiago Pereira - Lukas Neumayer Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pereira is ranked ATP: 260. Neumayer is ranked ATP: 189.

Pereira has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Neumayer is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Neumayer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Neumayer is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pereira won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Tiago Pereira - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 33.73%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiago Pereira
ATP Challenger
17.11.25	Tiago Pereira - Elmer Moller	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.11.25	Tiago Pereira - Alberto Barroso Campos	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Jacopo Berrettini - Tiago Pereira	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Tiago Pereira - Lorenzo Carboni	2:0 ✺
07.11.25	Robin Bertrand - Tiago Pereira	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLLWW
- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
04.11.25	Emil Ruusuvuori - Lukas Neumayer	2:0 ✺
ATP Vienna
18.10.25	Lukas Neumayer - Aleksandar Kovacevic	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.10.25	Federico Agustin Gomez - Lukas Neumayer	2:1 ✺
02.10.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Lukas Neumayer	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Juan Bautista Torres - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.05.24	Lukas Neumayer - Tiago Pereira	2:1

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