Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Eastbourne, grass - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 June 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Eastbourne 🌤️ ... 🟢 Grass


	Toby Samuel		Juan Manuel Cerundolo

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.87	1.90
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.92	1.99
	1.88	1.96	Watch
	1.85	1.95	Watch
	2.01	1.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.67)	1.91 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toby Samuel
50.2%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
49.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.1%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toby Samuel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toby Samuel's form might have worsened.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juan Manuel Cerundolo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toby Samuel than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toby Samuel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juan Manuel Cerundolo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Toby Samuel - Juan Manuel Cerundolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Samuel will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Cerundolo will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerundolo: 57.1% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cerundolo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Samuel is ranked ATP: 142. Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 45.

Samuel has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cerundolo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Cerundolo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Juan Manuel Cerundolo - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 42.92%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toby Samuel
ATP Eastbourne
24.06.26	Toby Samuel - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
21.06.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Toby Samuel	2:1 ✺
20.06.26	Toby Samuel - Quentin Halys	2:0 ✺
ATP London
16.06.26	Arthur Fery - Toby Samuel	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.06.26	Dane Sweeny - Toby Samuel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWLL
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Eastbourne
24.06.26	Arthur Fery - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
22.06.26	Raphael Collignon - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
01.06.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Matteo Berrettini	0:3 ✺
30.05.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Martin Landaluce	3:2 ✺
28.05.26	Jannik Sinner - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 70.1 WWLWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toby Samuel
ATP Challenger
27.10.26	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Toby Samuel	✺
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Basel
26.10.26	Daniel Altmaier - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	✺

Toby Samuel - Juan Manuel Cerundolo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide