Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: San Diego, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 29 January 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: San Diego 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Toby Samuel		Mitchell Krueger

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.66	2.09	Watch
	1.76	2.13
	1.6	2.18	Watch
	1.67	2.08	Watch
	1.69	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.57)	2.11 ↓ (2.23)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toby Samuel
55.7%

Mitchell Krueger
44.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.8%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toby Samuel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Mitchell Krueger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Toby Samuel - Mitchell Krueger Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Samuel will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Krueger will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Krueger: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mitchell Krueger will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Samuel is ranked ATP: 251. Krueger is ranked ATP: 205.

Samuel is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Mitchell Krueger - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.24%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toby Samuel
ATP Challenger
27.01.26	Tristan Boyer - Toby Samuel	1:2 ✺
09.01.26	Toby Samuel - Clement Chidekh	1:2 ✺
08.01.26	Stefan Kozlov - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
07.01.26	Liam Broady - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
06.01.26	Carl Emil Overbeck - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWW
- Mitchell Krueger
ATP Challenger
27.01.26	Mitchell Krueger - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
12.01.26	Yibing Wu - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.01.26	Mitchell Krueger - Murphy Cassone	0:2 ✺
03.01.26	Yosuke Watanuki - Mitchell Krueger	1:2 ✺
12.11.25	Mitchell Krueger - Darwin Blanch	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLLWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toby Samuel
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Clement Tabur - Toby Samuel	✺
- Mitchell Krueger
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Mitchell Krueger - Darwin Blanch	✺

Toby Samuel - Mitchell Krueger