Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 August 2025, Friday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Ugo Blanchet		Tomas Machac

	1	2
	5.5	1.14	Watch
	4.4	1.2
	5.32	1.14
	5.36	1.19
	4.50	1.20	Watch
	4.2	1.22
	5.89	1.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.02 ↑ (3.4)	1.18 ↓ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ugo Blanchet
19%

Tomas Machac
81%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

71.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

67.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ugo Blanchet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ugo Blanchet's form might have worsened.

Tomas Machac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tomas Machac's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugo Blanchet than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ugo Blanchet, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tomas Machac, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28%	0%	72%

Ugo Blanchet - Tomas Machac Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Blanchet will win (votes: 7 - 28%). Machac will win (votes: 18 - 72%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machac: 54.4% – 89.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tomas Machac will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Blanchet is ranked ATP: 184. Machac is ranked ATP: 22.

Blanchet is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Machac has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Blanchet may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Machac is the team to beat.

We predict that Blanchet will win today's game, with odds of 4.53.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ugo Blanchet
ATP US Open
27.08.25	Jakub Mensik - Ugo Blanchet	2:3 ✺
24.08.25	Ugo Blanchet - Fabian Marozsan	3:1 ✺
22.08.25	Jaime Faria - Ugo Blanchet	0:2 ✺
21.08.25	Ugo Blanchet - Dmitry Popko	2:0 ✺
18.08.25	Borna Gojo - Ugo Blanchet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.4 WWWWW
- Tomas Machac
ATP US Open
27.08.25	Joao Fonseca - Tomas Machac	0:3 ✺
24.08.25	Luca Nardi - Tomas Machac	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
09.08.25	Tomas Machac - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
29.07.25	Reilly Opelka - Tomas Machac	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.25	August Holmgren - Tomas Machac	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWLLL

Ugo Blanchet - Tomas Machac: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide