Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 27 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Grandstand (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Joao Fonseca		Tomas Machac

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.98	1.8
	1.78	1.99	Watch
	1.9	2
	1.98	1.81	Watch
	1.95	1.85
	1.74	1.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.76)	1.91 (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Fonseca
50.5%

Tomas Machac
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Fonseca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Tomas Machac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.2%	0%	44.8%

Joao Fonseca - Tomas Machac Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Fonseca will win (votes: 15 - 53.6%). Machac will win (votes: 13 - 46.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fonseca: 35.1% – 72.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Fonseca (votes: 5 - 50%). Machac (votes: 5 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Preview

Fonseca is ranked ATP: 45. Machac is ranked ATP: 22.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Fonseca
ATP US Open
25.08.25	Joao Fonseca - Miomir Kecmanovic	3:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
11.08.25	Joao Fonseca - Terence Atmane	0:2 ✺
09.08.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Joao Fonseca	Davidovich Fokina A. retired ✺
07.08.25	Joao Fonseca - Bu Yunchaokete	2:1 ✺
ATP Toronto
28.07.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Joao Fonseca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WL?WL
- Tomas Machac
ATP US Open
24.08.25	Luca Nardi - Tomas Machac	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
09.08.25	Tomas Machac - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
29.07.25	Reilly Opelka - Tomas Machac	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.25	August Holmgren - Tomas Machac	3:2 ✺
01.07.25	Damir Dzumhur - Tomas Machac	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLLW

Joao Fonseca - Tomas Machac: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide