Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo (Japan), hard - Semi-finals

Date: 30 September 2024, Monday


	Tomas Machac		Ugo Humbert

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.3	1.6
	2.34	1.58	Watch
	2.45	1.62
	2.44	1.61	Watch
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.4	1.59	Watch
	2.34	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.29)	1.59 ↓ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tomas Machac
40.1%

Ugo Humbert
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomas Machac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Ugo Humbert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	0%	81.8%

Tomas Machac - Ugo Humbert Predictions

Users Predictions: Ugo Humbert will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Machac is ranked ATP: 34. Humbert is ranked ATP: 18.

At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.

Humbert will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Humbert to win the game is with odds 1.49.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomas Machac
ATP Tokyo
29.09.24	Tomas Machac - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
27.09.24	Tommy Paul - Tomas Machac	1:2 ✺
25.09.24	Alexei Popyrin - Tomas Machac	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
12.09.24	Alexei Popyrin - Tomas Machac	Machac T. retired ✺
11.09.24	Tomas Machac - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	Machac T. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.3 WWW??
- Ugo Humbert
ATP Tokyo
29.09.24	Ugo Humbert - Jack Draper	Draper J. retired ✺
27.09.24	Brandon Nakashima - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
25.09.24	Shintaro Mochizuki - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
13.09.24	Ugo Humbert - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
10.09.24	Alexei Popyrin - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 ?WWLW

Tomas Machac - Ugo Humbert: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide