Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Houston, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday


	Tomas Martin Etcheverry		Tommy Paul

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
			Watch
	2.7	1.45	Watch
	2.72	1.52
	2.64	1.46	Watch
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.7	1.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (3.13)	1.47 ↑ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
35.1%

Tommy Paul
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

70.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

67.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomas Martin Etcheverry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tomas Martin Etcheverry's performance.

Tommy Paul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tommy Paul might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Martin Etcheverry than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.8%	0%	72.2%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Tommy Paul Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Etcheverry will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Paul will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paul: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tommy Paul will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Etcheverry is ranked ATP: 31. Paul is ranked ATP: 21.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Paul may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Paul is considered a favorite.

We predict that Paul will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Etcheverry won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Tommy Paul - the odds 1.33 are the expected chance of winning is 70.18%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomas Martin Etcheverry
ATP Houston
01.04.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Alex Bolt	2:1 ✺
31.03.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Federico Agustin Gomez	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
24.03.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Rafael Jodar - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Zizou Bergs - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLWW
- Tommy Paul
ATP Houston
01.04.26	Daniel Vallejo - Tommy Paul	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
25.03.26	Tommy Paul - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
24.03.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Tommy Paul - Raphael Collignon	2:1 ✺
20.03.26	Tommy Paul - Adrian Mannarino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Miami
24.03.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Tommy Paul	0:2

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