Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Rafael Jodar		Tomas Martin Etcheverry

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.74	2.1	Watch
	1.76	2.2
	1.72	2.12	Watch
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.72	2.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.73)	2.16 ↑ (2.03)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rafael Jodar
55.6%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rafael Jodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Tomas Martin Etcheverry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rafael Jodar than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Martin Etcheverry than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.2%	0%	47.8%

Rafael Jodar - Tomas Martin Etcheverry Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Jodar will win (votes: 12 - 52.2%). Etcheverry will win (votes: 11 - 47.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jodar: 31.8% – 72.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rafael Jodar will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Jodar is ranked ATP: 109. Etcheverry is ranked ATP: 32.

Jodar is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Etcheverry has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Etcheverry may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Tomas Martin Etcheverry - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 46.01%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rafael Jodar
ATP Miami
21.03.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Rafael Jodar	0:2 ✺
20.03.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Rafael Jodar	Canceled ✺
19.03.26	Rafael Jodar - Yannick Hanfmann	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Rafael Jodar - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
16.03.26	Rafael Jodar - Manas Manoj Dhamne	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 W?WWW
- Tomas Martin Etcheverry
ATP Miami
21.03.26	Zizou Bergs - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Denis Shapovalov	1:2 ✺
ATP Santiago
24.02.26	Matias Soto - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	Canceled ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
22.02.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Vit Kopriva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WL?WW

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