Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: TOKYO (JAPAN), HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 20 October 2023, Friday


	Tommy Paul		Ben Shelton

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.62	2.25
	1.68	2.15
	1.67	2.2
	1.65	2.38
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.6	2.34	Watch
	1.65	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.72)	2.28 ↑ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tommy Paul
58.1%

Ben Shelton
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Ben Shelton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ben Shelton than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Tommy Paul - Ben Shelton Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Paul will win (votes: 8 - 28.6%). Shelton will win (votes: 20 - 71.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shelton: 54.7% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Now both players are in good shape.

Paul could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Paul won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommy Paul
ATP Tokyo
18.10.23	Tommy Paul - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
16.10.23	Tommy Paul - Daniel Altmaier	2:1 ✺
ATP Shanghai
11.10.23	Tommy Paul - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
09.10.23	Tommy Paul - Arthur Fils	2:1 ✺
07.10.23	Tommy Paul - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLWW
- Ben Shelton
ATP Tokyo
18.10.23	Ben Shelton - Jordan Thompson	2:1 ✺
17.10.23	Ben Shelton - Taro Daniel	2:1 ✺
ATP Shanghai
12.10.23	Ben Shelton - Sebastian Korda	1:2 ✺
10.10.23	Jannik Sinner - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
08.10.23	Ben Shelton - Roman Safiullin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
03.09.23	Tommy Paul - Ben Shelton	1:3
ATP Australian Open
24.01.23	Ben Shelton - Tommy Paul	1:3

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