Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: TOKYO (JAPAN), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 18 October 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: TOKYO (JAPAN) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	17:35	beIN Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	08:35	SportKlub
Bulgaria	09:35	Max Sport 3
Croatia	08:35	SportKlub
Germany	08:35	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	07:35	Sport TV2
Serbia	08:35	SportKlub
Slovenia	08:35	SportKlub
Ukraine	09:35	Setanta Sports


	Tommy Paul		Mackenzie McDonald

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.48	2.6
	1.42	2.8	Watch
	1.48	2.63
	1.47	2.9
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.48	2.65	Watch
	1.49	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.52)	2.68 ↑ (2.55)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tommy Paul
64.5%

Mackenzie McDonald
35.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.6%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Mackenzie McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	0%	6.7%

Tommy Paul - Mackenzie McDonald Predictions

Users Predictions: Tommy Paul will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

McDonald could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Paul will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Paul won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommy Paul
ATP Tokyo
16.10.23	Tommy Paul - Daniel Altmaier	2:1 ✺
ATP Shanghai
11.10.23	Tommy Paul - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
09.10.23	Tommy Paul - Arthur Fils	2:1 ✺
07.10.23	Tommy Paul - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
ATP Beijing
29.09.23	Tommy Paul - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWWL
- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Tokyo
15.10.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Max Purcell	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
06.10.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
04.10.23	Corentin Moutet - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
29.09.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Grigor Dimitrov	1:2 ✺
ATP Zhuhai
24.09.23	Karen Khachanov - Mackenzie McDonald	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Acapulco
02.03.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Tommy Paul	0:2
24.02.20	Tommy Paul - Mackenzie McDonald	2:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommy Paul
ATP Vienna
30.10.26	Tommy Paul - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	✺

Tommy Paul - Mackenzie McDonald