Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: PARIS (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 30 October 2023, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Brazil	ESPN 3
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Eurosport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV3
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 1


	Tommy Paul		Richard Gasquet

	1	2
	1.2	4.5	Watch
	1.22	4.1
	1.2	4.6	Watch
	1.21	4.91
	1.2	4.5	Watch
	1.22	4.3	Watch
	1.22	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.45)	4.46 ↑ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tommy Paul
78.7%

Richard Gasquet
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tommy Paul's performance.

Richard Gasquet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Richard Gasquet might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tommy Paul that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richard Gasquet than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Richard Gasquet could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Tommy Paul - Richard Gasquet Predictions

Users Predictions: Tommy Paul will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Paul is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gasquet is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Paul could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Paul is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Paul won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommy Paul
ATP Vienna
26.10.23	Borna Gojo - Tommy Paul	2:0 ✺
24.10.23	Alexandre Muller - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
20.10.23	Tommy Paul - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
18.10.23	Tommy Paul - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
16.10.23	Tommy Paul - Daniel Altmaier	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLWW
- Richard Gasquet
ATP Challenger
23.10.23	Richard Gasquet - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
ATP Antwerp
17.10.23	Richard Gasquet - Maximilian Marterer	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
04.10.23	Zhizhen Zhang - Richard Gasquet	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.09.23	Richard Gasquet - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
29.09.23	Richard Gasquet - Arthur Fery	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Estoril
26.04.22	Tommy Paul - Richard Gasquet	0:2

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