Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday

Referee: Murphy F. (Irl)


	Ugo Humbert		Jan-Lennard Struff

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.2	1.65
	2.15	1.7
	2.23	1.73
	2.23	1.74
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.22	1.67	Watch
	2.24	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.28)	1.69 ↑ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ugo Humbert
43.4%

Jan-Lennard Struff
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ugo Humbert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Jan-Lennard Struff has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan-Lennard Struff than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Ugo Humbert - Jan Lennard Struff Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Humbert will win (votes: 6 - 22.2%). Struff will win (votes: 21 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Struff: 62.1% – 93.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Humbert is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Struff in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Struff could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Struff to win the game is with odds 1.7.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Humbert won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ugo Humbert
ATP Madrid
26.04.24	Ugo Humbert - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:0 ✺
ATP Barcelona
17.04.24	Dusan Lajovic - Ugo Humbert	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
12.04.24	Ugo Humbert - Casper Ruud	1:2 ✺
11.04.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Ugo Humbert	1:2 ✺
10.04.24	Zhizhen Zhang - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLLWW
- Jan-Lennard Struff
ATP Madrid
26.04.24	Jaume Munar - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2 ✺
ATP Munich
21.04.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2 ✺
20.04.24	Jan-Lennard Struff - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:0 ✺
20.04.24	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2 ✺
18.04.24	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Sofia
29.09.22	Jan-Lennard Struff - Ugo Humbert	2:0

Ugo Humbert - Jan-Lennard Struff: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide