Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday


	Mariano Navone		Marcos Giron

	1	2
	3.4	1.33	Watch
	3.3	1.32	Watch
	3.31	1.38
	3.24	1.34	Watch
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	3.39	1.33	Watch
	2.63	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.59)	1.36 ↓ (1.46)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mariano Navone
30.1%

Marcos Giron
69.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

64%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

59.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariano Navone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mariano Navone's form might have worsened.

Marcos Giron has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marcos Giron's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mariano Navone, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcos Giron than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marcos Giron, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.6%	0%	94.4%

Mariano Navone - Marcos Giron Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Navone (2.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Navone (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Marcos Giron will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Marcos Giron will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Navone (votes: 3 - 30%). Giron (votes: 7 - 70%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Navone is ranked ATP: 79. Giron is ranked ATP: 69.

In recent matches, Navone has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Giron is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Giron may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Giron is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Navone won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mariano Navone
ATP Santiago
25.02.26	Mariano Navone - Luciano Darderi	1:2 ✺
24.02.26	Mariano Navone - Vit Kopriva	Kopriva V. retired ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
17.02.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
12.02.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Mariano Navone - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 L?LLW
- Marcos Giron
ATP Delray Beach
18.02.26	Marcos Giron - Casper Ruud	1:2 ✺
16.02.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Marcos Giron	0:2 ✺
ATP Dallas
10.02.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Marcos Giron	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
18.01.26	Learner Tien - Marcos Giron	3:2 ✺
ATP Auckland
15.01.26	Sebastian Baez - Marcos Giron	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
24.08.25	Mariano Navone - Marcos Giron	2:3
ATP Winston-Salem
19.08.25	Mariano Navone - Marcos Giron	2:0

Mariano Navone - Marcos Giron: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide