Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday


	Valentin Vacherot		Alexander Blockx

	1	2
	2.20	1.67	Watch
	2.20	1.65
	2.14	1.71	Watch
	2.14	1.68	Watch
	2.20	1.68
	2.12	1.74	Watch
	2.18	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.36)	1.68 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentin Vacherot
43.7%

Alexander Blockx
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentin Vacherot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Alexander Blockx has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Blockx than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	0%	91.7%

Valentin Vacherot - Alexander Blockx Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Blockx (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Blockx (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Alexander Blockx (1.70) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Alexander Blockx will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Blockx (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vacherot is ranked ATP: 18., and Blockx is ranked ATP: 27..

In recent outings, Vacherot has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Blockx is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Vacherot may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Our forecast points to a victory for Blockx in today's match, at odds of 1.7.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Valentin Vacherot - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 39.71%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Alexander Blockx - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 60.29%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Vacherot
ATP Chengdu
26.09.26	Valentin Vacherot - Lloyd Harris	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
19.09.26	Otto Virtanen - Valentin Vacherot	1:2 ✺
18.09.26	Eero Vasa - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
04.09.26	Valentin Vacherot - Francis Tiafoe	0:3 ✺
02.09.26	Valentin Vacherot - Kamil Majchrzak	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWLW
- Alexander Blockx
ATP US Open
09.09.26	Karen Khachanov - Alexander Blockx	Blockx A. Retired ✺
07.09.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Alexander Blockx	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	Alexander Blockx - Flavio Cobolli	3:1 ✺
03.09.26	Alexander Blockx - Marco Trungelliti	3:1 ✺
31.08.26	Alexander Blockx - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 ?WWWW

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