Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 TELDE 2 (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 19 April 2023, Wednesday


	Vilius Gaubas		Miguel Damas

	1	2
	1.9	1.8
	1.91	1.83
	1.83	1.83
	1.88	1.83	Watch
	1.88	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.69)	1.82 ↓ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilius Gaubas
49.2%

Miguel Damas
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilius Gaubas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vilius Gaubas's form might have worsened.

Miguel Damas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Miguel Damas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vilius Gaubas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miguel Damas than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Miguel Damas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Gaubas in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Damas is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gaubas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's Gaubas to win the game is with odds 1.71.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gaubas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilius Gaubas
ITF Tournaments
16.04.23	Diego Augusto Barreto Sanchez - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
15.04.23	Jorge Martinez Martinez - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
14.04.23	Marcel Zielinski - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
13.04.23	Leopold Zima - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
12.04.23	Vilius Gaubas - Clement Tabur	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWWW
- Miguel Damas
ATP Challenger
13.04.23	Miguel Damas - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
11.04.23	Miguel Damas - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.04.23	Vilius Gaubas - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
08.04.23	Alejandro Manzanera Pertusa - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
07.04.23	Miguel Damas - Jaime Faria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
09.04.23	Vilius Gaubas - Miguel Damas	2:0

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