Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 11


	Corentin Moutet		Pablo Llamas Ruiz

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2.13	Watch
	1.75	2.21
	1.7	2.16	Watch
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.73	2.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.61)	2.14 ↓ (2.28)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corentin Moutet
55.4%

Pablo Llamas Ruiz
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corentin Moutet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Pablo Llamas Ruiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corentin Moutet than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Corentin Moutet, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Llamas Ruiz than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pablo Llamas Ruiz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	0%	15.4%

Corentin Moutet - Pablo Llamas Ruiz Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Llamas Ruiz (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Corentin Moutet will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moutet is ranked ATP: 30. Llamas Ruiz is ranked ATP: 139.

Moutet has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Llamas Ruiz is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Moutet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Corentin Moutet - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 58.61%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corentin Moutet
ATP Madrid
25.04.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Corentin Moutet	2:0 ✺
ATP Barcelona
16.04.26	Corentin Moutet - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
13.04.26	Ignacio Buse - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.26	Corentin Moutet - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Corentin Moutet - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWLW
- Pablo Llamas Ruiz
ATP Roma
07.05.26	Ethan Quinn - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	1:2 ✺
05.05.26	Jaime Faria - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	1:2 ✺
04.05.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Henrique Rocha	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
21.04.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Elmer Moller	0:2 ✺
20.04.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWLW

Corentin Moutet - Pablo Llamas Ruiz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide