Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	Xin Yu Wang		Varvara Gracheva

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.81	2.04
	1.78	2.03	Watch
	1.74	2.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.87)	2.07 ↑ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xin Yu Wang
53.9%

Varvara Gracheva
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xin Yu Wang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Varvara Gracheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xin Yu Wang than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Xin Yu Wang that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Gracheva than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Varvara Gracheva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Xin Yu Wang - Varvara Gracheva Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Wang will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Gracheva will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Wang is ranked WTA: 62. Gracheva is ranked WTA: 83.

Wang is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Gracheva is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Gracheva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Gracheva will win today's game, with odds of 1.91.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Varvara Gracheva - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xin Yu Wang
WTA Ningbo
14.10.25	Yue Yuan - Xin Yu Wang	2:0 ✺
WTA Wuhan
06.10.25	Moyuka Uchijima - Xin Yu Wang	2:0 ✺
WTA Beijing
26.09.25	Xin Yu Wang - Shuai Zhang	0:2 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
16.09.25	Jasmine Paolini - Xin Yu Wang	2:1 ✺
WTA US Open
28.08.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Xin Yu Wang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Varvara Gracheva
WTA Tokyo
18.10.25	Varvara Gracheva - Maddison Inglis	2:0 ✺
17.10.25	Emiliana Arango - Varvara Gracheva	1:2 ✺
WTA Osaka
13.10.25	Ann Li - Varvara Gracheva	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Varvara Gracheva - Elena Gabriela Ruse	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Varvara Gracheva - Himeno Sakatsume	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLWW

Xin Yu Wang - Varvara Gracheva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide