Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday


	Juan Manuel Cerundolo		Pedro Martinez Portero

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.21
	1.7	2.1	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.65	2.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.64)	2.12 ↓ (2.18)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
55.9%

Pedro Martinez Portero
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Pedro Martinez Portero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	0%	69.2%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Pedro Martinez Portero Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Martinez Portero (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Pedro Martinez Portero will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 69. Martinez Portero is ranked ATP: 113.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Cerundolo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cerundolo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Juan Manuel Cerundolo - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 57.07%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Pedro Martinez Portero - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 42.93%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Monte Carlo
04.04.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Hugo Nys	2:0 ✺
ATP Marrakech
31.03.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Kamil Majchrzak	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Arthur Rinderknech	Rinderknech A. walkover ✺
05.03.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:1 ✺
ATP Santiago
24.02.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WL?WL
- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Monte Carlo
04.04.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
ATP Bucharest
31.03.26	Daniel Altmaier - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.03.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Pablo Carreno-Busta	1:2 ✺
26.03.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Remy Bertola	2:1 ✺
24.03.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Carlos Sanchez Jover	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Buenos Aires
12.02.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2
09.02.20	Pedro Martinez Portero - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0

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