Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Juan Manuel Cerundolo		Luciano Darderi

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
			Watch
	2.45	1.52
	2.52	1.61
	2.4	1.57	Watch
	2.38	1.57
	2.29	1.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.62)	1.58 ↑ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
39.7%

Luciano Darderi
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

63.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

64.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Luciano Darderi Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Cerundolo will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Darderi will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 67. Darderi is ranked ATP: 22.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerundolo won 2.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Cerundolo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Darderi could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cerundolo won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.2:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Juan Manuel Cerundolo - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 36.1%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Madrid
23.04.26	Daniel Altmaier - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
14.04.26	Brandon Nakashima - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Jesper De Jong	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Giulio Zeppieri	Zeppieri G. Retired ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
06.04.26	Valentin Vacherot - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLW?L
- Luciano Darderi
ATP Munich
15.04.26	Vit Kopriva - Luciano Darderi	2:1 ✺
14.04.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Luciano Darderi	1:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Luciano Darderi	2:1 ✺
ATP Marrakech
04.04.26	Luciano Darderi - Marco Trungelliti	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Luciano Darderi - Yannick Hanfmann	Darderi L. Walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Rio de Janeiro
17.02.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Luciano Darderi	2:1
ATP Santiago
29.02.24	Luciano Darderi - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:1
ATP Rio de Janeiro
17.02.24	Luciano Darderi - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2
ATP Challenger
13.10.23	Luciano Darderi - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0
05.10.23	Luciano Darderi - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0
25.05.22	Luciano Darderi - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2

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