Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Santiago, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 February 2026, Wednesday


	Camilo Ugo Carabelli		Yannick Hanfmann

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.18	1.67	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.5	1.59
	2.4	1.54	Watch
	2.38	1.57
	2.29	1.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (1.75)	1.59 ↓ (2.08)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
40.5%

Yannick Hanfmann
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Camilo Ugo Carabelli's form might have worsened.

Yannick Hanfmann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yannick Hanfmann's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Camilo Ugo Carabelli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yannick Hanfmann than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yannick Hanfmann, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85%	0%	15%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Yannick Hanfmann Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Ugo Carabelli (3.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Camilo Ugo Carabelli will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Camilo Ugo Carabelli will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Ugo Carabelli (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Hanfmann (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 59. Hanfmann is ranked ATP: 81.

Ugo Carabelli has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hanfmann is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ugo Carabelli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Hanfmann will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 54.31%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Rio de Janeiro
17.02.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Roman Andres Burruchaga	0:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
13.02.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
12.02.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
10.02.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Francisco Comesana	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.02.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLWWW
- Yannick Hanfmann
ATP Santiago
23.02.26	Dusan Lajovic - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
18.02.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
16.02.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
07.02.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	Canceled ✺
06.02.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLW?W

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Yannick Hanfmann: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide