Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bergamo, hard - Final

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	Marko Topo		Francesco Maestrelli

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.9	1.8	Watch
	1.90	1.82	Watch
			Watch
	1.91	1.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (1.97)	1.8 ↑ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marko Topo
48.6%

Francesco Maestrelli
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marko Topo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Francesco Maestrelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marko Topo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Marko Topo - Francesco Maestrelli Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Topo will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Maestrelli will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Maestrelli: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Francesco Maestrelli will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Topo is ranked ATP: 282. Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 157.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Topo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Topo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marko Topo
ATP Challenger
22.11.25	Stefano Travaglia - Marko Topo	0:2 ✺
21.11.25	Francesco Passaro - Marko Topo	0:2 ✺
19.11.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Marko Topo	0:2 ✺
17.11.25	Marko Topo - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
03.11.25	Matej Dodig - Marko Topo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWWL
- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Challenger
22.11.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Justin Engel	2:0 ✺
21.11.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Stefano Napolitano	2:0 ✺
20.11.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Buvaysar Gadamauri	2:0 ✺
18.11.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Emil Ruusuvuori	2:1 ✺
12.11.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Vit Kopriva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.07.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Marko Topo	2:1

Marko Topo - Francesco Maestrelli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide