Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hangzhou, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday


	Yibing Wu		Daniil Medvedev

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
			Watch
	3.79	1.31
	3.39	1.30	Watch
	3.81	1.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↓ (4.16)	1.3 ↑ (1.17)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yibing Wu
26.3%

Daniil Medvedev
73.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22%

78%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yibing Wu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Daniil Medvedev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Yibing Wu - Daniil Medvedev Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Wu will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Medvedev will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wu: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Yibing Wu will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Wu is ranked ATP: 196. Medvedev is ranked ATP: 18.

Wu is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Medvedev has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Medvedev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Medvedev is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Wu won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yibing Wu
ATP Hangzhou
20.09.25	Yibing Wu - Sebastian Korda	2:1 ✺
17.09.25	Adrian Mannarino - Yibing Wu	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
22.08.25	Jerome Kym - Yibing Wu	2:0 ✺
21.08.25	Luca Van Assche - Yibing Wu	0:2 ✺
19.08.25	Yibing Wu - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLWW
- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Hangzhou
19.09.25	Nishesh Basavareddy - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.25	Daniil Medvedev - Benjamin Bonzi	2:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
10.08.25	Adam Walton - Daniil Medvedev	2:1 ✺
ATP Toronto
31.07.25	Daniil Medvedev - Alexei Popyrin	1:2 ✺
29.07.25	Daniil Medvedev - Dalibor Svrcina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Washington
24.07.25	Daniil Medvedev - Yibing Wu	2:0
ATP US Open
02.09.22	Daniil Medvedev - Yibing Wu	3:0

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