Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday


	Zachary Svajda		Daniel Merida Aguilar

	1	2
			Watch
	1.35	2.95
	1.39	3.1
	1.36	3.02	Watch
	1.2	3.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.3)	3.24 ↓ (3.37)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zachary Svajda
70.9%

Daniel Merida Aguilar
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.2%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.7%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zachary Svajda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zachary Svajda than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Zachary Svajda - Daniel Merida Aguilar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Svajda is ranked ATP: 96. Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 135.

Svajda is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Merida Aguilar has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Merida Aguilar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Svajda is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Svajda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zachary Svajda
ATP Miami
17.03.26	Zachary Svajda - Colton Smith	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.26	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Zachary Svajda	2:0 ✺
04.03.26	Zachary Svajda - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
22.02.26	Zachary Svajda - Sho Shimabukuro	Svajda Z. retired ✺
21.02.26	Zachary Svajda - Andres Martin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLW?W
- Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP Miami
16.03.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Dalibor Svrcina	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Marcos Giron	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Dane Sweeny	2:1 ✺
02.03.26	Patrick Kypson - Daniel Merida Aguilar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WLLWW

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