Match Info

USA: NFL - ROUND 16

Date: 25 December 2022, Sunday

Location: State Farm Stadium (Glendale)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
France	beIN Sports
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hungary	Arena 4
Portugal	Eleven Sports


	Arizona Cardinals		Tampa Bay Buccaneers

	1	2
	4	1.26	Watch
	3.9	1.26
	3.9	1.29
	3.6	1.3
	3.78	1.31
	4.05	1.27
	3.88	1.27
	3.35	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.81 ↑ (2.35)	1.28 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 42.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arizona Cardinals
25.1%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
74.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

59.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arizona Cardinals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arizona Cardinals's form might have worsened.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tampa Bay Buccaneers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arizona Cardinals than the current prediction. (+18.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arizona Cardinals, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Buccaneers than the current prediction. (-18.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tampa Bay Buccaneers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.4%	0%	90.6%

Arizona Cardinals - Tampa Bay Buccaneers Predictions

Users Predictions: Tampa Bay Buccaneers will win (29 of 32 users predict this - 90.63%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.53% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 17:25

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 10).

Arizona has currently - 4-10, has not chance of playoffs.

Tampa Bay has currently - 6-8, has a good chance of playoffs (65%), has a good chance of win division (64%), has not chance of 1st-round bye.

This event has very small quality 1, small importance 18, small match rating 10. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Arizona is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Tampa Bay is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Tampa Bay is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Arizona won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 118-80.

Including matches at home between the teams Arizona won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 78-40.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arizona Cardinals
NFL
18.12.22	Denver Broncos - Arizona Cardinals	24:15 ✺
12.12.22	Arizona Cardinals - New England Patriots	13:27 ✺
27.11.22	Arizona Cardinals - Los Angeles Chargers	24:25 ✺
21.11.22	Arizona Cardinals - San Francisco 49ers	10:38 ✺
13.11.22	Los Angeles Rams - Arizona Cardinals	17:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLLW
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers
NFL
18.12.22	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Cincinnati Bengals	23:34 ✺
11.12.22	San Francisco 49ers - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	35:7 ✺
05.12.22	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - New Orleans Saints	17:16 ✺
27.11.22	Cleveland Browns - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	23:17 OT ✺
13.11.22	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Seattle Seahawks	21:16 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
10.11.19	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Arizona Cardinals	30:27
15.10.17	Arizona Cardinals - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	38:33
18.09.16	Arizona Cardinals - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	40:7
29.09.13	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Arizona Cardinals	10:13

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