Match Info

USA: NFL - ROUND 16

Date: 24 December 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta) 🌤️ ...


	Atlanta Falcons		Indianapolis Colts

	1	2
	1.67	2.25	Watch
	1.67	2.25
	1.65	2.3	Watch
	1.66	2.35
	1.66	2.35
	1.69	2.25
	1.65	2.28
	1.61	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.84)	2.27 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 44.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

Watch this match and NFL with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Atlanta Falcons
57.8%

Indianapolis Colts
42.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.8%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlanta Falcons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlanta Falcons's performance.

Indianapolis Colts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Indianapolis Colts might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta Falcons than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlanta Falcons that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indianapolis Colts than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Indianapolis Colts could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.6%	0%	86.4%

Atlanta Falcons - Indianapolis Colts Predictions

Users Predictions: Indianapolis Colts will win (19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.02% – 100%.

#ad

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 8).

Recent matches Atlanta is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Indianapolis is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Indianapolis could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Atlanta will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Atlanta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 45-51.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlanta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 21-24.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlanta Falcons
NFL
17.12.23	Carolina Panthers - Atlanta Falcons	9:7 ✺
10.12.23	Atlanta Falcons - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	25:29 ✺
03.12.23	New York Jets - Atlanta Falcons	8:13 ✺
26.11.23	Atlanta Falcons - New Orleans Saints	24:15 ✺
12.11.23	Arizona Cardinals - Atlanta Falcons	25:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWWL
- Indianapolis Colts
NFL
16.12.23	Indianapolis Colts - Pittsburgh Steelers	30:13 ✺
10.12.23	Cincinnati Bengals - Indianapolis Colts	34:14 ✺
03.12.23	Tennessee Titans - Indianapolis Colts	28:31 OT ✺
26.11.23	Indianapolis Colts - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	27:20 ✺
12.11.23	New England Patriots - Indianapolis Colts	6:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
22.09.19	Indianapolis Colts - Atlanta Falcons	27:24
22.11.15	Atlanta Falcons - Indianapolis Colts	21:24

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlanta Falcons
NFL
01.11.26	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Atlanta Falcons	✺
- Indianapolis Colts
NFL
01.11.26	Jacksonville Jaguars - Indianapolis Colts	✺

Atlanta Falcons - Indianapolis Colts